WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON HAGUPIT (RUBY) UPDATE NUMBER 013
Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Saturday 06 December 2014
Next Update: Saturday Evening, 06 December 2014
HAGUPIT (RUBY) has weakened anew into a Typhoon
classification as it continues to move closer to Samar in a slow pace
endangering Eastern Visayas and Southern Bicol area. The potential landfall
area of this cyclone is along the northern part of Eastern Samar between
10PM-12MN tonight.
This typhoon will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging
Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy and windy conditions and cooler
temperatures across Northern and Central Luzon...becoming more frequent with
possible occasional slight to moderate rains along eastern sections of
Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Northern Quezon. The threat of flash floods and
landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and
mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary
precautions.
Residents and visitors along Southern Luzon, Visayas and Northeastern Mindanao should
closely monitor the development of Hagupit (Ruby).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc.
shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and
distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be
responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or
that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical
cyclone.
RAINFALL
Heavy to Extreme Rains (150 mm or more): Samar
Provinces, Leyte, Sorsogon, Albay, Masbate, Romblon, northern portions of Capiz
and Iloilo, extreme northern part of Negros Occidental, and Northern Cebu. - tonight
through Sunday afternoon (Dec 07).
Heavy Rains (100 mm to 150 mm): Southern part of
Camarines Sur, Aklan incl. Tablas Is., rest of Capiz and Iloilo, rest of
northern part of Negros Occidental, northern portion of Southern Cebu, Bohol,
Southern Leyte, and Dinagat and Siargao Islands. - tonight through Sunday
evening (Dec 07).
Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Rest of Bicol,
Southern Quezon, rest of Visayas, and Northeastern Mindanao. -beginning
Saturday morning Dec (06) through Sunday evening (Dec 07).
WINDS
Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Most
parts of Samar Provinces, Sorsogon, Southen Albay, Masbate, Burias and Ticao
Islands, Biliran Island, and eastern portions of Romblon - beginning
Saturday afternoon (Dec 06) until Sunday afternoon (Dec 07).
Tropical Storm to Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130
kph): Rest of Albay, Southern Camarines Sur (Rinconada), Virac,
Catanduanes Area, Rest of Romblon, Northern Coastal Areas of Panay, portions of
Northern Cebu incl. Bantayan Island, Leyte, and some portions of Southern Samar
- beginning Saturday afternoon (Dec 06) until Sunday afternoon (Dec 07).
Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Camarines
Norte, Rest of Camarines Sur incl. Metro Naga, Eatern portions of Southern
Quezon incl. Bondoc Peninsula, Marinduque, some portions of Northern Panay,
Rest of Northern Cebu, some portions of Central Cebu incl. Cebu City, Southern
Leyte, and some portions of Dinagat Islands - beginning Saturday evening
(Dec 06) until Sunday evening (Dec 07).
STORM SURGE
Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 4-5.5 m (13-18
ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous
battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front
areas of Eastern Visayas and Eastern Bicol Region beginning Saturday
afternoon onwards. Extreme damage is likely on this type of storm
surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the
beach-front areas of Surigao del Norte, Rest of Visayas, Ragay Gulf, Visayan
Sea and Eastern Luzon.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT...Dec 06.
Classification/Name: TY Hagupit (Ruby)
Location: Over west-central part of the Philippine Sea (near 12.2N 126.9E)
About: 175 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar...or 360 km
east-southeast of Legazpi City, Albay
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 205 kph near the
center...Gustiness: 250 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 150 to 500 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 933 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 900 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 120 km from the Center
Past Movement: West @ 13 kph
Forecast Movement: West @ 11 kph
Towards: Samar
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to slightly slow down as it continues to move
west towards Northern Samar during the next 24 hours...turning west-northwest
through 48 hours. On the forecast track, TY Hagupit (Ruby) shall make
landfall over the northern-eastern coast of Samar between 10 PM - 12 PM
tonight...then traverses the Island through Sunday morning. It shall emerge
over the Samar Sea...then move along the northern coasts of Masbate, and
Romblon on its way towards Northern Mindoro through Monday morning.
TY Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to continue to gradually weaken throughout the
outlook period as it interacts with the land masses of Eastern Visayas and
Southern Bicol coupled with the entrainment of cold Northeast Monsoon. Advance
Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing
to 120 kph by Monday morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
SUNDAY MORNING: Weakens as it crosses slowly the northern part of Samar
Island...about 35 km south of Catarman, Northern Samar [8AM DEC 07: 12.2N
124.7E @ 165kph].
MONDAY MORNING: Weakens further as it traverses the northern coasts of
Masbate...moves toward Romblon and Northern Mindoro...about 75 km northwest of
Romblon [8AM DEC 08: 12.9N 121.7E @ 140kph].
TUESDAY MORNING: Barely a Typhoon as it emerges over the West Philippine
Sea after crossing Northern Mindoro...about 140 km west of Lubang Island [8AM
DEC 09: 13.7N 118.9E @ 120kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours,
and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100
and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35
kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track
and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards
summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sat Dec 06, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 12.2º N Lat 126.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 185 km NE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 250 km ESE of Catarman, Northern Samar
Distance 3: 325 km ESE of Sorsogon City
Distance 4: 320 km SE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 5: 430 km SE of Metro Naga
Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph
