Friday, December 5, 2014




Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Saturday 06 December 2014
Next Update: Saturday Evening, 06 December 2014

HAGUPIT (RUBY) has weakened anew into a Typhoon classification as it continues to move closer to Samar in a slow pace endangering Eastern Visayas and Southern Bicol area. The potential landfall area of this cyclone is along the northern part of Eastern Samar between 10PM-12MN tonight.

This typhoon will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy and windy conditions and cooler temperatures across Northern and Central Luzon...becoming more frequent with possible occasional slight to moderate rains along eastern sections of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Northern Quezon. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.

Residents and visitors along Southern Luzon, Visayas and Northeastern Mindanao should closely monitor the development of Hagupit (Ruby).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.

Heavy to Extreme Rains (150 mm or more): Samar Provinces, Leyte, Sorsogon, Albay, Masbate, Romblon, northern portions of Capiz and Iloilo, extreme northern part of Negros Occidental, and Northern Cebu. - tonight through Sunday afternoon (Dec 07). 

Heavy Rains (100 mm to 150 mm): Southern part of Camarines Sur, Aklan incl. Tablas Is., rest of Capiz and Iloilo, rest of northern part of Negros Occidental, northern portion of Southern Cebu, Bohol, Southern Leyte, and Dinagat and Siargao Islands. - tonight through Sunday evening (Dec 07). 

Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Rest of Bicol, Southern Quezon, rest of Visayas, and Northeastern Mindanao. -beginning Saturday morning Dec (06) through Sunday evening (Dec 07). 

Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Most parts of Samar Provinces, Sorsogon, Southen Albay, Masbate, Burias and Ticao Islands, Biliran Island, and eastern portions of Romblon - beginning Saturday afternoon (Dec 06) until Sunday afternoon (Dec 07). 

Tropical Storm to Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Rest of Albay, Southern Camarines Sur (Rinconada), Virac, Catanduanes Area, Rest of Romblon, Northern Coastal Areas of Panay, portions of Northern Cebu incl. Bantayan Island, Leyte, and some portions of Southern Samar - beginning Saturday afternoon (Dec 06) until Sunday afternoon (Dec 07). 

Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Camarines Norte, Rest of Camarines Sur incl. Metro Naga, Eatern portions of Southern Quezon incl. Bondoc Peninsula, Marinduque, some portions of Northern Panay, Rest of Northern Cebu, some portions of Central Cebu incl. Cebu City, Southern Leyte, and some portions of Dinagat Islands - beginning Saturday evening (Dec 06) until Sunday evening (Dec 07). 

Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 4-5.5 m (13-18 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Eastern Visayas and Eastern Bicol Region beginning Saturday afternoon onwards. Extreme damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Surigao del Norte, Rest of Visayas, Ragay Gulf, Visayan Sea and Eastern Luzon. 


As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT...Dec 06.

Classification/Name: TY Hagupit (Ruby)

Location: Over west-central part of the Philippine Sea (near 12.2N 126.9E)
About: 175 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar...or 360 km east-southeast of Legazpi City, Albay
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 205 kph near the center...Gustiness: 250 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 150 to 500 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 933 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 900 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 120 km from the Center
Past Movement: West @ 13 kph
Forecast Movement: West @ 11 kph
Towards: Samar 


TY Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to slightly slow down as it continues to move west towards Northern Samar during the next 24 hours...turning west-northwest through 48 hours. On the forecast track, TY Hagupit (Ruby) shall make landfall over the northern-eastern coast of Samar between 10 PM - 12 PM tonight...then traverses the Island through Sunday morning. It shall emerge over the Samar Sea...then move along the northern coasts of Masbate, and Romblon on its way towards Northern Mindoro through Monday morning.

TY Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to continue to gradually weaken throughout the outlook period as it interacts with the land masses of Eastern Visayas and Southern Bicol coupled with the entrainment of cold Northeast Monsoon. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 120 kph by Monday morning.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

SUNDAY MORNING: Weakens as it crosses slowly the northern part of Samar Island...about 35 km south of Catarman, Northern Samar [8AM DEC 07: 12.2N 124.7E @ 165kph].

MONDAY MORNING: Weakens further as it traverses the northern coasts of Masbate...moves toward Romblon and Northern Mindoro...about 75 km northwest of Romblon [8AM DEC 08: 12.9N 121.7E @ 140kph].
TUESDAY MORNING: Barely a Typhoon as it emerges over the West Philippine Sea after crossing Northern Mindoro...about 140 km west of Lubang Island [8AM DEC 09: 13.7N 118.9E @ 120kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sat Dec 06, 2014

Location of Eye: Near 12.2º N Lat 126.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 185 km NE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 250 km ESE of Catarman, Northern Samar
Distance 3: 325 km ESE of Sorsogon City
Distance 4: 320 km SE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 5: 430 km SE of Metro Naga

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for

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